Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Technically, this should all work.


As I stare open mouthed at the calendar I ask myself, How in the hell could this have happened?

I begin the big ride 3 weeks from this Friday.  Aside from a bunch of little stuff that has to be done closer to departure, I have two very large maintenance items that must be done before I leave.

The truck that will carry us all home desperately needs some maintenance.  Its timing-belt time and I really haven’t kept up with the maintenance in my overly protective way.  Thus, the laundry list is long and I would imagine that it will take the shop at least a week to do the work.  That means that the motorcycle becomes my primary mode of transport.  No problem, I did it in College and even more recently when my truck was in the shop a few weeks ago.  In fact, one of the reasons I have the bike is because a third vehicle is just a really handy damn thing to have. Here is the Problem:

Weeks left to trip: 3.  Here is how it lays out:

Week 1(April 1-5): Armada in the shop all week.  Hopefully we are done with Spring cold fronts because 38 degrees on a bike just sucks.

Week 2 (April 8-12):  Bike in the shop for new brakes and a problem with the starter.  Now as any bike owner will tell you, turnaround times are very different between bikes and cars.  It is not uncommon for a bike to be in the shop for two weeks for repairs.  I just don’t freakin’ have it.  At the end of week 2, I need to drive the Armada and bike trailer to Miami (I’ll fly back).  That means that I would need to have the bike by Monday morning of week 3 at the latest.

Week 3 (April 15-19):  No Armada (it’s in Miami waiting for J and the kids).  Thus I am a full time motorcyclist again this week.  This actually works out very well because I can shake out the problems before heading south on the 19th.

So on paper, everything looks fine.  But life is not lived on paper.  As a project manager, I see huge amounts of risk in this approach.  Very little would be needed to completely screw my schedule.

How the shit did this happen?  Thinking back, I lost over a week to fever and bronchitis.  You can’t avoid that but I could have built slack into the schedule for it.  I noticed that the bike brakes were squeeking and it is getting hard to start. I was hoping that I could get through the trip with the bike as-is but I just don’t feel comfortable with it.  I have to ride a total of about 2300 miles in 7 days with the bike pretty well loaded. I should have anticipated this.

All in all, I think the answer is “Life happened”.

The kids had spring break. We had a ton of work done on the house.  I only have about 8 concurrent projects at work and most of them are behind.  You just can’t compartmentalize life.  It doesn’t break down into family, work, house, cars, trip.  It all gets mixed into one big bowl of tasks and goals.  I’m good at making sure that the important things rise to the top.  J and the kids followed by work and then progressing onward to cars bikes and houses.  Still, the damn bowl overflows sometimes and there isn’t shit you can do about it.  Lesson learned.

Now then, how do we address the risk of bike work and schedule?  My bike shop is pretty good.  If they can’t finish the work by my deadline, they’ll at least tell me.  That means I should know about the bike status before I leave to drop the truck off in Miami.  I doubt very seriously that it will take these guys two weeks to fix a starter and swap out some brakes.  I could do it myself if I had about 20 extra hours.  I guess the worst case scenario then is that I might have to rent a cheap car while they finish the bike.  It sucks but it’s really only a hundred bucks or so.  I can absorb it in the trip budget.   In any case, it’s a back-up plan.

I’m doing one last training ride up to Lake Sommerville this weekend to shake out gear.  Everything else looks pretty good. 

Funny how I always feel better about these things once I write them down.  When you drag things into the light, they usually just aren’t that frightening.  And it’s important to remember how cool this trip will be…in three short weeks.